Posts Tagged ‘Wall Street Journal’

First let’s congratulate the Morris Plains Marlins Swim Team for their third undefeated season.  The Marlins are 21 and 0 over the last three years.  Coach Tina Cecala and her staff should be congratulated for their tremendous effort.  The swim team is one of the best recreation programs in the county.  The coaches have succeeded   in combining personal achievement and solid team work to produce a great summer swim team.  Good luck in the County Championships

There are at least 11 million people in the US that owe more than their home is worth, and a ton more whose property is worth a bunch less than they paid for it.  If you fall in this category you may not be as trapped as you think. 

According to the Wall Street Journal, record low Mortgage rates and a new slump in home prices are presenting some unusual opportunities in the housing market.  Even underwater home owners may benefit.

Many home owners are intentionally taking a hit on their current house writing a check to retire the loan in order to buy a much larger house for not that much more money.  Some are throwing conservative financial advice to the dogs.  They are opting to cash in refinancing.   They are paying thousands out of their pocket to settle their loans and then taking out new mortgages with lower payments and shorter terms.

Essentially these people are doubling down on their homes and taking a chance that when the economy recovers they will have put themselves in a position where there new properties will appreciate faster than if they had waited for their older home to do so.  Economists are saying that this may not be such a bad idea.  Christopher Mayer from Columbia Business School says that “If you are trading up, what better time than now”  Interest rates are rock bottom and the cost of a larger home is much less then what it was 2,3 4 years ago. Someone who wants to refinance is home could plunk down cash to retire the  higher rate loan then refinance the new loan and might be able to reduce his monthly payments as well as shortening is loan term.  Look at the graphs below

For example, 2 years ago someone bought a home for 246,000. That same home has appraised for 228,000 today.  Our home owner has paid 29,000 in principle and closing costs to refinance his current 30 year loan at 5.87% into a 20 year loan at 4.5%.  This will save the home owner 95,000 in interest over the life of his loan and lowers his monthly payment by 148.00 dollars.  If you do the math our home owners not only saves the 95 grand over the course of his loan.  He also earns a return of about 10% a year for 5 years on his investment of 29,000.

It is not easy for many of us to accept the fact that we have lost tens of thousands of dollars on our homes.  However for scores of home owners summoning the courage to take a loss now could lead to large gains later. 

This is agreat time to be a buyer especially in Morris Plains.  There are a number of homes in town that are competively priced to the current market.  These homes will sell very quickly, I know of one that already has had alot of interest in it.  If you need any information about the town give me a call and I will be happy to assist you.

Thanks for reading my blog on Morris Plains Homes NJ and here is the Quote.”Go back a little to leap further.”  John Clarke

Good News, More Good News and Some Bad News for the Housing Market in Morris Plains

There was a great article in the Wall Street Journal this morning.  It appears that the devaluation of the Euro has had a positive effect for The U. S. housing market.   An influx of of international money looking for a safe haven is pushing domestic mortgage rates to their lowest levels in 50 years. 

Most industry insiders were bracing for a rise in rates when the FED was going to stop propping up the market.  Instead 30 year mortgage rates have fallen once again below 5 percent.  Instead because of all this cash could push 30 year mortgage rates as low as 4.5 to 4.25 percent.

For every one percentage point decline in mortgage rates equvalent to roughly a 10 percent reduction in the home price.  If the rates hold economists predict that this will allow current home owners to sell existing homes with out actually dropping the price of their homes.  A home priced at 300,000 dollars to a buyer a month ago has just become more affordable to a larger pool of buyers.  This higher number of buyers will be competing for the same home.

More Good News is that The National Association for Business Economics report that they expect the country’s Gross National Product will expand by 3.2 percent in 2010 and 2011.  Growth prospects are stronger, unemployment and inflation are lower.  The economy in April added jobs at the fastest pace in four years.  Unemployment is expected to drop from 9.9 percent to 9.4 percent by the end of the year. By the end of 2011 it will drop to 8.5%

Now for the bad news for Morris Plains Home Owners.  The number of homes for sale in town has jumped up to 34.  What’s worse is our absorption rate is now 8 months.  At this level our market for homes are squarely in the buyers range.   How did this happen you ask? 

Well first we saw the first hints of it over the last 2 weeks when I reported that over a quarter of the homes in Morris Plains have been on the market for 6 months to a year or more.  Many have been listed many times over.  Some have been listed over a period of years.  The reason they never sold is very simple weak marketing and they are all over priced.  

Now the problem is that too many people waited to long to put their homes up for sale.  The time to strike was  2 to 3 months ago when there was no competition, when we only had 20 homes on the market.  Now everyone is jumping into the market and the number of homes for sale has increased by 35 percennt.  Compounding the problem is that every home for sale in Morris Plains is over priced by 5 to 10 percent.  Get ready for a slow sales season this summer.  There will be much wailing and gnashing of teeth in the community of caring. 

If you are serious about selling your home give me a call.  We will work together, construct a realestic marketing plan, price your house to the market and sell it.  Remember Real Estate is not magic we do not wish or hope someone buys your home.   I will work to sell it.  

Thanks for Reading My Morris Plains Blog.  The Quote for today is:  “The young rebel the old conserve, together we move forward.”  Robert Leckie